Late-season incentives make online betting ipl 2026 unusually sensitive to Net Run Rate. When points are tied, NRR can decide who qualifies, so teams sometimes chase faster, defend harder for margin, or push the game into higher-risk lines. That affects totals, run-rate markets, and even player props because batters may attack earlier than usual. A team already safe might rotate, while a bubble team plays its strongest XI and uses strike bowlers more aggressively. The factual way to read a price is asking what each side needs from the table tonight, not just who has the bigger reputation. Staying selective is a skill, not a missed opportunity.